Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/309664 
Year of Publication: 
2018
Citation: 
[Journal:] International Journal of Management and Economics [ISSN:] 2543-5361 [Volume:] 54 [Issue:] 3 [Year:] 2018 [Pages:] 169-184
Publisher: 
Sciendo, Warsaw
Abstract: 
The main objective of this study was to investigate the impact and causality of crude oil and natural gas on economic growth in the Caspian Sea region. Here, the study applies ordinary least square (OLS) method and Granger causality test using time series data from 1997 to 2015 to ascertain the impact and causality of crude oil and natural gas on economic growth. The results, according to the OLS method, evince that crude oil and natural gas have a significant impact on economic growth of the region. Alongside, considering causality test, gross domestic product (GDP) does Granger cause (unidirectional) crude oil price and export which denotes that GDP can help to forecast crude oil price and export; however, crude oil price and export cannot help to forecast GDP. Surprisingly, this direction is unlikely for GDP and natural gas. GDP and natural gas have unidirectional, but opposite causal relationship, i.e., natural gas price and export do Granger cause GDP which signify that natural gas price and export can help to forecast GDP; however, GDP cannot help to forecast crude oil price and export.
Subjects: 
Caspian Sea Region
European Union
Crude Oil
Natural Gas
Economic Growth
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc-nd Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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