Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/308804 
Year of Publication: 
2024
Series/Report no.: 
CFS Working Paper Series No. 727
Publisher: 
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), Frankfurt a. M.
Abstract: 
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being otherwise well-informed about inflation rates and asset returns. Consequently, whereas exogenous shifts in inflation expectations do not impact return expectations, information on past returns during periods of high inflation leads to negative updating about the perceived stock-return impact of inflation, which feeds into return expectations and subsequent actual trading behavior.
Subjects: 
Belief Formation
Field Experiment
Inflation
Trading
JEL: 
C93
D14
D83
D84
E22
E31
E44
G11
G51
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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