Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/30422
Authors: 
Fidrmuc, Jarko
Korhonen, Iikka
Year of Publication: 
2009
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 2710
Abstract: 
We analyze the transmission of global financial crisis to business cycles in China and India. The pattern of business cycles in emerging Asian economies generally displays a low degree of synchronization with the OECD countries, which is consistent with the decoupling hypothesis. By contrast, however, the current financial crisis has had a significant effect on economic developments in emerging Asian economies. Applying dynamic correlations, we find wide differences for different frequencies of cyclical development. More specifically, at business cycle frequencies, dynamic correlations are typically low or negative, but they are also influenced most by the global financial crisis. Finally, we find a significant link between trade ties and dynamic correlations of GDP growth rates in emerging Asian countries and OECD countries.
Subjects: 
financial crisis
business cycles
decoupling
trade
dynamic correlation
JEL: 
E32
F15
F41
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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