Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/302134 
Year of Publication: 
2024
Series/Report no.: 
SWP Comment No. 36/2024
Publisher: 
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), Berlin
Abstract: 
While heated debates in Europe have focused on how to respond if Donald J. Trump is re-elected to the White House, discussions in Australia, Japan, and South Korea reveal a greater sense of confidence in Washington's commitments. The fear that the United States would withdraw its nuclear assurances is much less pronounced in the Indo-Pacific than in Europe. This serenity appears primarily grounded in a shared understanding that a bipartisan consensus is driving the US commitment to contain China's rise - a goal that requires reliable allies across the Pacific. At the same time, US allies want to maintain the regional status quo and are willing to support Washington's efforts. Trump's potential return does little to change these structural incen­tives. Instead, Pacific allies fear challenges to the East Asian regional order, challenges that are also relevant for Europe's security and prosperity.
Subjects: 
Donald Trump
US nuclear assurances
Australia
Japan
South Korea
North Korea
transactional approach
European US allies
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Research Report

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