Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/288484 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Empirica [ISSN:] 1573-6911 [Volume:] 48 [Issue:] 1 [Publisher:] Springer US [Place:] New York, NY [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 247-278
Publisher: 
Springer US, New York, NY
Abstract: 
Since the run-up to the great recession, there has been a significant degree of heterogeneity across euro area countries both in terms of interest rates and in the composition of monetary assets. In order to account for the heterogeneity of monetary assets within and across member countries, we propose a Divisia monetary aggregate for the euro area. In line with earlier evidence obtained for the United States, our results from a panel probit analysis show that the divergence between the Divisia and the simple sum aggregate has a significant predictive content for recessions in euro area countries.
Subjects: 
Monetary aggregation
Euro area Divisia aggregate
Recessions
JEL: 
E51
E32
C43
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article
Document Version: 
Published Version

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