Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/287527 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Citation: 
[Journal:] Journal of Economic Growth [ISSN:] 1573-7020 [Volume:] 26 [Issue:] 1 [Publisher:] Springer US [Place:] New York, NY [Year:] 2021 [Pages:] 1-30
Publisher: 
Springer US, New York, NY
Abstract: 
This paper provides an empirical investigation of the hypothesis that population shocks such as the repeated outbreaks of the plague affected the timing of the demographic transition. The empirical analysis uses disaggregate data from Germany and exploits geographic variation in the exposure to medieval plague shocks. The findings document that areas with greater exposure to plague outbreaks exhibited an earlier onset of the demographic transition. The results are consistent with the predictions of the unified growth literature and provide novel insights into the largely unexplored empirical determinants of the timing of the transition from stagnation to growth.
Subjects: 
Plague
Demographic transition
Fertility
Outbreak
Epidemics
JEL: 
O10
J10
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article
Document Version: 
Published Version

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