Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/284497 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Wine Economics and Policy [ISSN:] 2212-9774 [Volume:] 9 [Issue:] 2 [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 23-35
Publisher: 
Firenze University Press, Florence
Abstract: 
Short-term climate conditions may affect crop yields and vintage quality and, as a consequence, wine prices and vineyards' earnings. In this paper, we use a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model for Chile, which incorporates very detailed information about the value chain of the wine sector in the country. Using information for the 2015-2016 harvest, we calibrate climate variability shocks associated with a "bad year" for the wine industry in Chile, when premature rains occurred in important wine regions, reducing the area harvested and leading to wines with less concentrated flavors, particularly for reds. We model the climate shocks as a productivity change in the grape-producing sector (quantity effect). Moreover, we model quality effects as a shift in the foreign demand curve for Chilean wine. Given the specific economic environment in the model and the proposed simulation, it is possible to note the reduction of Chilean real GDP by about 0.067%. By decomposing this result, we verify that the quality effect has a slightly greater weight compared to the quantity effect.
Subjects: 
Climate Variability
viticulture
wine
computable general equilibrium
Chile
JEL: 
C68
Q13
Q54
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

Files in This Item:
File
Size
537.04 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.