Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/277378 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2017
Citation: 
[Journal:] European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention (EJEEP) [ISSN:] 2052-7772 [Volume:] 14 [Issue:] 1 [Year:] 2017 [Pages:] 32-47
Publisher: 
Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham
Abstract: 
In this paper, the parts of four leading economics textbooks that deal with exchange-rate theories are reviewed. The books are by Krugman/Obstfeld/Melitz, Blanchard/Johnson, Mankiw/Taylor and Samuelson/Nordhaus. The theoretical background for this exercise is the fact that exchange-rate theory is one of the weakest parts in 'mainstream economics', meaning the neoclassical and the New Keynesian stream of thought. It is now widely accepted that exchange-rate forecasts are no better than those arising from a random walk in the short and medium run. For the long run, most authors stick to the old purchasing-power-parity theory whose empirical validation is just as weak. Nonetheless the textbooks reviewed here only present exchange-rate theories that have little empirical support. Yet they differ considerably, even though they remain within the leading theoretical paradigm.
Subjects: 
teaching economics
open-economy macroeconomics
exchange-rate theory
JEL: 
A22
A23
F31
F41
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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