Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/27363 
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dc.contributor.authorSiliverstovs, Borissen
dc.contributor.authorÖtsch, Rainalden
dc.contributor.authorKemfert, Claudiaen
dc.contributor.authorJaeger, Carloen
dc.contributor.authorHaas, Arminen
dc.contributor.authorKremers, Hansen
dc.date.accessioned2008-12-16-
dc.date.accessioned2009-08-06T13:20:39Z-
dc.date.available2009-08-06T13:20:39Z-
dc.date.issued2008-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/27363-
dc.description.abstractThis study models maximum temperatures in Switzerland monitored in twelve locations using the Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. The parameters of the GEV distribution are determined within a Bayesian framework. We find that the parameters of the underlying distribution underwent a substantial change in the beginning of the 1980s. This change is characterised by an increase both in the level and the variability. We assess the likelihood of a heat wave of the Summer of 2003 using the fitted GEV distribution by accounting for the presence of a structural break. The estimation results do suggest that the heat wave of 2003 appears not that statistically improbable event as it is generally accepted in the relevant literature.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) |cBerlinen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aDIW Discussion Papers |x840en
dc.subject.jelQ54en
dc.subject.jelC11en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordClimate changeen
dc.subject.keywordGEVen
dc.subject.keywordBayesian modellingen
dc.subject.keywordGreat Alpine Heat Waveen
dc.subject.stwKlimaveränderungen
dc.subject.stwStatistische Verteilungen
dc.subject.stwExtremwertanalyseen
dc.subject.stwSchweizen
dc.titleClimate change and modelling of extreme temperatures in Switzerland-
dc.type|aWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn588034533en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen
dc.identifier.repecRePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp840en

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