Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/265197
Authors: 
Švéda, Josef
Baxa, Jaromír
Geršl, Adam
Year of Publication: 
2022
Series/Report no.: 
IES Working Paper No. 11/2022
Publisher: 
Charles University in Prague, Institute of Economic Studies (IES), Prague
Abstract: 
We estimate the short-run reactions of bond spreads of selected EU member states vis-à-vis the German bund on fiscal announcements from January 2000 till December 2019. To avoid selection bias, the announcements are scrapped from the Factiva database, and then, depending on their tone, they are classified as hawkish or dovish. We show that announcements of fiscal consolidation decrease the spreads-however, the full-sample result masks substantial time and country variation. The impact of fiscal consolidation is statistically significant, namely in the post-crisis period since the Draghi's "whatever it takes" speech, but not before the Great Recession or during the European Debt Crisis.
Subjects: 
fiscal announcements
bond spreads
EU debt crisis
fiscal consolidation
JEL: 
E62
G01
G12
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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