Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/259524 
Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2021
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Documento de Trabajo No. 202104
Verlag: 
Universidad Católica Boliviana, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), La Paz
Zusammenfassung: 
The Bolivian monthly index of economic activity along with ARMA models are used in an attempt to graph and measure the impact of Covid's pandemic on the Bolivian economy. The accumulated difference between the observed and counterfactual values show an overall 12.6% loss of economic activity in the 10 months from February to November 2020 of the first Covid wave, with a tilted W-shape short-run recovery just before the beginning of the second wave in December 2020. Break[1]down into the twelve Bolivian economic sectors show wide heterogeneity in depth of impact and speeds of recovery during the same period.
Schlagwörter: 
Covid-19
Interrupted time series analysis
ARMA-GARCH models
Bolivia
JEL: 
C22
O54
E32
E37
Y10
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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