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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2021
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] Journal of Risk and Financial Management [ISSN:] 1911-8074 [Volume:] 14 [Issue:] 8 [Article No.:] 366 [Publisher:] MDPI [Place:] Basel [Year:] 2021 [Pages:] 1-24
Verlag: 
MDPI, Basel
Zusammenfassung: 
Literature shows that the regression of independent and (nearly) nonstationary time series could result in spurious outcomes. In this paper, we conjecture that under some situations, the regression of two independent and nearly non-stationary series does not have any spurious problem at all. To check whether our conjecture holds, we set up several situations and conduct simulations to justify our conjecture. Our simulations show that under some situations, the chance that the regressions being spurious is very high for all the cases simulated in our paper. Nonetheless, under some other situations, our simulation shows that the rejection rates are much smaller than the 5% level of significance for all the cases simulated in our paper, implying that our conjecture could hold under some situations that regression of two independent and nearly non-stationary series does not have any spurious problem at all.
Schlagwörter: 
cointegration
nearly non-stationarity
non-stationarity
spurious problem
stationarity
JEL: 
C01
C15
C22
C58
C60
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