Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/258039 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Risks [ISSN:] 2227-9091 [Volume:] 8 [Issue:] 3 [Article No.:] 86 [Publisher:] MDPI [Place:] Basel [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 1-16
Publisher: 
MDPI, Basel
Abstract: 
In this study, we examine an empirical relationship between stock market volatility with the exchange rate and gold prices of an emerging market, "Pakistan", employing daily and monthly data (PSX-100 Index) covering from 2001: Q3 to 2018: Q2. The study explains the average stock returns by applying MGARCH. Further, it investigates that the volatility in the exchange rate (Rs/US $) and gold prices remain equally strong in bearish and bullish conditions of the stock market by using a quantile regression approach (2001-2018). Additionally, the sample period is divided into two split samples that cover (2001-2007) and (2008-2018) respectively, based on global financial crises and applied similar analysis. The overall results show the negative impact of the exchange rate and gold price volatility on the stock market performance daily (monthly), supporting the argument that the stock market considers the exchange rate and gold price fluctuations as an adverse indicator and reacts negatively.
Subjects: 
exchange rate
gold price
PSX
quantile regression
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
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Document Type: 
Article
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