Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/256587 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
SWP Comment No. 45/2019
Publisher: 
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), Berlin
Abstract: 
Almost eight months into the offensive on Tripoli by Khalifa Haftar's 'Libyan Arab Armed Forces' (LAAF), the war shows no signs of abating. Ongoing diplomatic efforts are divorced from realities on the ground. The current balance of forces rules out any possibility for a return to a political process. This would require either robust inter­national guarantees or a fragmentation of both opposing camps. As long as Haftar has the chance to advance in Tripoli, he and his foreign supporters will view negotia­tions as a tactic to divide his opponents and move closer to seizing power. To create the conditions for negotiations, Western states should work to weaken Haftar's alliance - and ultimately to prepare the post-Haftar era.
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Research Report

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