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dc.contributor.authorHanewald, Katjaen
dc.date.accessioned2008-05-08-
dc.date.accessioned2009-07-23T15:03:48Z-
dc.date.available2009-07-23T15:03:48Z-
dc.date.issued2008-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/25273-
dc.description.abstractThis article provides a comprehensive econometric analysis of factors driving aggregate mortality rates over time. It differs from previous studies in this field by simultaneously considering an extensive set of macroeconomic, socio-economic and ecological factors as explanatory variables. Germany is chosen as an indicative example for other industrialized countries due to its advanced demographic transition process. Our regression analysis, which covers the time interval 1956-2004, indicates that sex- and age-specific mortality rates vary substantially in their response to external factors. Strongest associations are found with changes in real GDP, flu epidemics and the two life style variables alcohol and cigarette consumption in both univariate and multivariate setups. Further analysis shows that these effects are primarily contemporary, while other indicators such as weather conditions exert lagged effects. By combining variables in a multivariate model the share of explained data volatility can be substantially increased.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aHumboldt University of Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649 - Economic Risk |cBerlinen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aSFB 649 Discussion Paper |x2008,031en
dc.subject.jelI12en
dc.subject.jelJ11en
dc.subject.jelC32en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordAggregate mortalityen
dc.subject.keywordbusiness cycleen
dc.subject.keywordsocio-economic factorsen
dc.subject.keywordmultivariate modelen
dc.subject.stwSterblichkeiten
dc.subject.stwKonjunkturen
dc.subject.stwLifestyleen
dc.subject.stwMultivariate Analyseen
dc.subject.stwSchätzungen
dc.subject.stwDeutschlanden
dc.titleBeyond the business cycle: factors driving aggregate mortality rates-
dc.type|aWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn56547071Xen
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen

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