Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/251830 
Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2022
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
EIB Working Papers No. 2022/05
Verlag: 
European Investment Bank (EIB), Luxembourg
Zusammenfassung: 
Public debt is a very weak predictor of a country's credit rating if a country's other features are not taken into account. However, everything else equal, more public debt is associated with worse ratings. This paper explores the relationship between debt and sovereign creditworthiness by explicitly modelling the debt thresholds associated with rating changes. It finds that the impact of an increase in public debt is highly non-linear and crucially depends on a country's economic situation. In particular, low levels of GDP per capita are associated with a smaller range of possible ratings than higher levels. Hence, for countries with a higher GDP per capita, a change in debt levels is thus more likely to result in a rating change. Overall, the non-linear relationship between debt and creditworthiness is substantial, and accounting for it improves the performance of sovereign credit rating models significantly.
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
ISBN: 
978-92-861-5236-8
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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