Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/248788 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. TI 2021-106/III
Publisher: 
Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam and Rotterdam
Abstract: 
Common sense is a dynamic concept and it is natural that our (statistical) common sense lags behind the development of statistical science. What is not so easy to understand is why common sense lags behind as much as it does. We conduct a survey among Japanese students and try to understand why some probabilistic and statistical questions that baffled great minds a few hundred years are now easy, while other (relatively straightforward) questions are not only difficult but even counter-intuitive.
Subjects: 
probability
statistical methods
experiment
common knowledge
JEL: 
B16
C10
C91
D80
D90
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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