Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/247578 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Econometrics [ISSN:] 2225-1146 [Volume:] 8 [Issue:] 3 [Publisher:] MDPI [Place:] Basel [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 1-28
Publisher: 
MDPI, Basel
Abstract: 
We discuss some conceptual and practical issues that arise from the presence of global energy balance effects on station level adjustment mechanisms in dynamic panel regressions with climate data. The paper provides asymptotic analyses, observational data computations, and Monte Carlo simulations to assess the use of various estimation methodologies, including standard dynamic panel regression and cointegration techniques that have been used in earlier research. The findings reveal massive bias in system GMM estimation of the dynamic panel regression parameters, which arise from fixed effect heterogeneity across individual station level observations. Difference GMM and Within Group (WG) estimation have little bias and WG estimation is recommended for practical implementation of dynamic panel regression with highly disaggregated climate data. Intriguingly, from an econometric perspective and importantly for global policy analysis, it is shown that in this model despite the substantial differences between the estimates of the regression model parameters, estimates of global transient climate sensitivity (of temperature to a doubling of atmospheric CO2) are robust to the estimation method employed and to the specific nature of the trending mechanism in global temperature, radiation, and CO2.
Subjects: 
climate modeling
cointegration
difference GMM
dynamic panel
spatio-temporal modeling
system GMM
transient climate sensitivity
within group estimation
JEL: 
C32
C33
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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