Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/245999 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
Danmarks Nationalbank Working Papers No. 178
Publisher: 
Danmarks Nationalbank, Copenhagen
Abstract: 
This working paper evaluates the economic sources of the stock market responses of 40 countries to surprises in the fed funds rate (FFR), the Fed's forward guidance (FG) and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP). We decompose stock market returns into different components reflecting investors' revisions in expectations (news) about future cash flows, expected returns, real interest rates and the real exchange rate to show that FFR and LSAP surprises affect foreign stock markets because they influence foreign countries' real economic outlook. FG surprises seem to convey non-monetary information, such as the Fed's risk assessment, to which foreign stock markets react.
Subjects: 
Monetary-policy transmission
international spillovers
news
stock returns
vector autoregression
JEL: 
E44
E52
F36
G15
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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