Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/242527 
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
Economics Working Paper Series No. 2014/04
Publisher: 
Auckland University of Technology (AUT), Faculty of Business, Economics and Law, Auckland
Abstract: 
The New Zealand health care sector stands out relative to other OECD countries, with relatively low per-capita health expenditure and a public dominant health system. Efficient allocation of resources is therefore paramount. This paper creates a predictive model for patient volume using the national database of hospital admissions. Contrasting predicted with actual demand, we construct indicators of volatility in unexpected demand (at the hospital and disease chapter level) and assess their role with regard to patient outcomes. There is consistent evidence that when actual exceeds predicted, patients stay in hospital longer, and are more likely to have an acute readmission.
Subjects: 
hospital demand
emergency readmission
length of hospital stay
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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