Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/240738 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
Texto para Discussão No. 2543
Publisher: 
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brasília
Abstract (Translated): 
There was a decrease of 10.2% in the number of homicides in the State of Espírito Santo, between 2010 and 2014. During this period, substantial investments were allocated in a policy focused to reduce homicide, based on the organization of prison system and on the "Estado Presente em Defesa da Vida" program. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the public policy pursued in the state affected its violent lethality rate. This work used the synthetic control methodology proposed by Abadie, Diamond and Hainmueller (2010). The results indicate that the number of homicides would have increased by 29% in the period if the policy had not been adopted. Comparing the financial costs corresponding to the implementation of the policy, with the statistical value of lives saved, estimated by Cerqueira (2014), we conclude that each real invested generated a social welfare gain equivalent to R$ 2.4.
Subjects: 
synthetic control
homicide rate
public security policy
Brazil
JEL: 
O10
K42
C40
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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