Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/240355 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
BOFIT Discussion Papers No. 4/2020
Publisher: 
Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT), Helsinki
Abstract: 
We study the global impact of the Chinese economy based on a novel indirect approach where the spillover effect is quantified from a forecast error model under relatively favorable identifying con-ditions. Findings from the real-time World Economic Outlook data over the period 2004-2015 indicate that an increase in economic growth in China had a negative impact on most other economies one to two years ahead. The estimations furthermore uncover evidence at the global level that spill-over propagated by influencing prices, including global commodity prices, which tend to increase in reaction to accelerating economic growth in China.
Subjects: 
Chinese economy
global spillover
real time data
JEL: 
C2
F15
F440
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-952-323-315-7
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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