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Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2012
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] International Econometric Review (IER) [ISSN:] 1308-8815 [Volume:] 4 [Issue:] 2 [Publisher:] Econometric Research Association (ERA) [Place:] Ankara [Year:] 2012 [Pages:] 99-122
Verlag: 
Econometric Research Association (ERA), Ankara
Zusammenfassung: 
Econometric Methodology is based on logical positivist principles. Since logical positivism has collapsed, it is necessary to re-think these foundations. We show that positivist methodology has led econometricians to a meaningless search for patterns in the data. An alternative methodology which relates observed patterns to real causal structures is proposed.
Schlagwörter: 
Econometric Methodology
logical positivism
realism
causality
VAR models
Forecasting
surprise
goodness of fit
JEL: 
C18
B40
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Dokumentart: 
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