Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/236665 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 9123
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
We examine the dynamic impact of household borrowing on the trade balance using data from 33 developing countries and 36 developed countries over the 1980-2017 period. Our findings suggest that the impact of household borrowing on the trade balance is by and large negative, both in the short and long run. We show that household borrowing’s adverse effects on the trade balance are more pronounced but less persistent in developing countries.
Subjects: 
household borrowing
trade balance
dynamic effects
panel ARDL model
JEL: 
E21
F32
G21
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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