Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/234954
Autoren: 
Mukashov, Askar
Henning, Christian H. C. A.
Robertson, Richard
Wiebelt, Manfred
Datum: 
2021
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Kiel Working Paper No. 2187
Zusammenfassung: 
With increasing evidence that rural households in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) opt for deagrarianization as an adaptation strategy to climate change, it is becoming important to understand the role of Global Climate Change (GCC) in ongoing structural transformation processes in these countries. We use Senegal as a case study country and analyze how various GCC scenarios affect the country's economic sectors, households' welfare, and structural transformation patterns. Our simulation results suggest that GCC can increase the country's deagrarianization pace, with industrial and service sectors in the capital Dakar being the most important destinations of the former agricultural labor force. Although unplanned urbanization smoothes the overall negative impact of GCC and decreases spatial income disparities, uncontrolled deagrarianization is also associated with negative externalities. Previous growth-focused studies suggest that services partaking in Senegal's deagrarianization can hamper its long-term growth prospects, and our results suggest that productivity increase of services can redirect part of the former agricultural labor force towards industrial sectors.
Schlagwörter: 
CGE modeling
climate change
deagrarianization
urbanization
JEL: 
D58
C68
Q54
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

Datei(en):
Datei
Größe
732.68 kB





Publikationen in EconStor sind urheberrechtlich geschützt.