Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/234820 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
Document de travail No. 2021-03
Publisher: 
Université du Québec à Montréal, École des sciences de la gestion (ESG UQAM), Département des sciences économiques, Montréal
Abstract: 
Using monthly data on temporary trade barriers (TTBs), we estimate the dynamic em- ployment effects of protectionism through vertical production linkages. First, exploiting high- frequency data and TTB procedural details, we identify trade policy shocks exogenous to eco- nomic fundamentals. We then use input-output tables to construct measures of protectionism affecting downstream producers. Finally, we estimate panel local projections using the identi- fied trade-policy shocks. Protectionism has small and insignificant beneficial effects in protected industries. The effects in downstream industries are negative, sizable, and significant. The em- ployment decline follows an increase in intermediate-input and final goods prices, and a decline in stock market returns.
Subjects: 
Protectionism
Input-Output Linkages
Local Projections
JEL: 
F13
F14
F62
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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