Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/234571
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics No. 241
Publisher: 
Technische Universität Darmstadt, Department of Law and Economics, Darmstadt
Abstract: 
Terrorist events typically vary along many dimensions, making it difficult to identify their economic effects. This paper analyzes the impact of terrorism on international trade by examining a series of three large-scale terrorist incidents in France over the period from January 2015 to July 2016. Using firm-level data at monthly frequency, we document an immediate and lasting decline in cross-border trade after a mass terrorist attack. According to our estimates, France's trade in goods, which accounts for about 70 percent of the country's trade in goods and services, is reduced by more than 6 billion euros in the first six months after an attack. The reduction in trade mainly takes place along the intensive margin, with particularly strong effects for partner countries with low border barriers to France, for firms with less frequent trade activities and for homogeneous products. A possible explanation for these patterns is an increase in trade costs due to stricter security measures.
Subjects: 
shock
insecurity
uncertainty
terrorism
international trade
France
JEL: 
F14
F52
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size
338.58 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.