Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/231701 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Financial Studies [ISSN:] 2066-6071 [Volume:] 24 [Issue:] 3 (89) [Publisher:] Romanian Academy, National Institute of Economic Research (INCE), "Victor Slăvescu" Centre for Financial and Monetary Research [Place:] Bucharest [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 6-22
Publisher: 
Romanian Academy, National Institute of Economic Research (INCE), "Victor Slăvescu" Centre for Financial and Monetary Research, Bucharest
Abstract: 
The purpose of the study is to put forward the long-term and causality relationship between the BIST Industrial Index and the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for the period January 2008-December 2018 in Turkey. First of all,the existence of a long-run relationship between variables has been investigated with cointegration test. It has been determined that there is a long-run relationship between series. For this reason, the coefficient estimation for the long-run relationship between the series has been made a prediction with the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares cointegration coefficient estimator. Finally, the existence of causality relationship between the series has been investigated with theasymmetric causality test in the study and it has been determined that there is a unidirectional causality relationship from PMI to BIST Sinai index in terms of positive and negative shocks. Therefore,with this study it can be said that the PMI is a predictor of stock prices.
Subjects: 
BIST Industrial Index
PMI
Cointegration Test with Multiple Structural Breaks
Asymmetric Causality Test
JEL: 
C22
C53
D53
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc-nd Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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