Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/231567 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2020
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Kiel Working Paper No. 2145
Versionsangabe: 
Revised Version: June 17, 2020
Verlag: 
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel
Zusammenfassung: 
Comparing the emigration rates of countries at different stages of economic development, an inverse u-shape emerges. Although merely based on cross-sectional evidence, the "migration hump" is often treated as a causal relationship. Since the peak is located at rather high per capita incomes of 6000-10 000 USD policy makers in rich destination countries worry that supporting economic development in poor origin countries might increase migration. In this paper we systematically test whether the migration hump holds up to more scrutiny, finding that the crosssectional pattern is misleading. Using 35 years of migration flow data from 198 countries of origin to OECD destinations, we successfully reproduce the hump-shape in the cross-section. However, more rigorous fixed effects panel estimations that exploit the variation over time consistently show a negative association between income and emigration. This result is independent of the level of income a country starts out at and thus casts doubt on any causal interpretation of the migration hump.
Schlagwörter: 
International migration
economic development
development assistance
JEL: 
F22
F63
O15
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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