Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/229506
Authors: 
Beine, Michel
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 8688
Abstract: 
In this paper, I propose to isolate the role of age as a self-selection factor of international migration. The role of age is estimated on intended emigration rather than on observed outcomes of migration, using individual measures of intended emigration drawn from a large-scale survey conducted by Gallup. I find evidence that age has a monotonic negative effect on desired emigration for the working-age population. The estimations point to a very robust effect, suggesting that an additional year of age decreases the probability of intended emigration by about 0.5%. This effect is steady over different periods of time and for most types of countries of origin. The results contrast with previous evidence obtained on observed outcomes of migration, suggesting that out-selection factors interact with age and shape the demographic profile of migrants.
Subjects: 
age
international migration
intended emigration
logit
large-scale survey
JEL: 
F22
C25
J61
O15
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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