Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/229365
Authors: 
Sørensen, Bjørn Bo
Estmann, Christian
Sarmento, Enilde Francisco
Rand, John
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
WIDER Working Paper No. 2020/141
Abstract: 
Mozambique is among the world's least complex economies. By systematically accounting for both supply- and demand-side factors, we identify new products and sectors that can help to diversify and upgrade its economy. In a supply-side analysis, we use network methods from the literature on economic complexity to identify a set of target products that are complex, require productive capabilities useful in the export of other products, and are close to Mozambique's existing productive structure. In a demand-side analysis, we use gravity models to predict the export potential of target products and markets given product-specific trade resistance and geographically dispersed demand. The broad sectoral focus of Mozambique's industrial policy is largely consistent with structural transformation and export promotion. The current prioritization of agriculture, agro-industry, and metals is especially important, while there are unexploited opportunities in machinery, vehicles, and transport equipment. We find some potential for Mozambique to export target products to neighbouring countries.
Subjects: 
economic complexity
trade
export upgrading
structural transformation
Mozambique
JEL: 
C53
F14
O14
O25
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-9256-898-6
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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