Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/228156 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2020
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
LEM Working Paper Series No. 2020/17
Verlag: 
Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Pisa
Zusammenfassung: 
This paper presents two stocks recommendation systems based on a stochastic characterization of firm present value that extends the conventional discounted cash flow analysis. In the Single-Stock Quantile recommendation system, the market price of a company's stocks is compared with the estimated distribution of the company fair value to obtain an individual measure of mispricing, while in the Cross-Sectional Quantile system, a relative measure of mispricing is built using the fair value distribution of all firms at the same time. Both systems use mispricing information to build sell side and buy side portfolios. We provide a series of statistical exercises that show how these portfolios can consistently deliver significant excess returns, also when rebalancing costs are accounted for.
Schlagwörter: 
Stochastic Discounted Cash Flow
Asset Valuation
Valuation Uncertainty
Portfolio Strategy
JEL: 
G11
G17
G32
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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