Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/226331
Authors: 
Bartholomae, Florian W.
Nam, Chang Woon
Rafih, Pierre
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 8629
Abstract: 
Based on an extended welfare chauvinism concept that more systematically integrates the labor market and public finance aspects, this paper examines the impact of the refugee crisis − which culminated in the EU in 2015/16 − on changes in voting behavior in Germany (revealed in the two German federal elections in 2013 and 2017), explaining the attitudinal preference for ethnic boundaries around national welfare systems and the emergence of the right-wing populist party AfD. For this dynamic approach, an OLS analysis is conducted based on county-level data. The variables are selected taking into account existing theoretical and empirical findings in the international context, combined with Germany-specific facts and experiences, local demographic and economic differences, and party-specific voter characteristics. Among the key empirical findings are sufficiently reliable indications of the occurrence of welfare-chauvinistic effects that led to the success of the AfD in the 2017 election.
Subjects: 
welfare chauvinism
immigration
right-wing populist party
refugee crisis
German federal elections
JEL: 
D72
F22
J15
P16
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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