Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/223935
Authors: 
Anand, Paul
Allen, Heidi
Ferrer, Robert
Gold, Natalie
Gonzales Martinez, Rolando
Kontopantelis, Evan
Krause, Melanie
Vergunst, Francis
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers 13493
Abstract: 
The paper provides new evidence from a survey of 2000 individuals in the US and UK related to predictors of Covid-19 transmission. Specifically, it investigates work and personal predictors of transmission experience reported by respondents using regression models to better understand possible transmission pathways and mechanisms in the community. Three themes emerge from the analysis. Firstly, transport roles and travelling practices are significant predictors of infection. Secondly, evidence from the US especially shows union membership, consultation over safety measures and the need to use public transport to get to work are also significant predictors. This is interpreted as evidence of the role of deprivation and of reactive workplace consultations. Thirdly and finally, there is some, often weaker, evidence that income, car-owership, use of a shared kitchen, university degree type, riskaversion, extraversion and height are predictors of transmission. The comparative nature of the evidence indicates that the less uniformly stringent nature of the US lockdown provides more information about both structural and individual factors that predict transmission. The evidence about height is discussed in the context of the aerosol transmission debate. The paper concludes that both structural and individual factors must be taken into account when predicting transmission or designing effective public health measures and messages to prevent or contain transmission.
Subjects: 
COVID-19
transmission
predictors
transport
workplace
deprivation
risk preference
extraversion
height
US
UK
JEL: 
I1
I12
I14
I18
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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