Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/223571
Authors: 
Gozgor, Giray
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 8499
Abstract: 
This paper examines the impact of economic uncertainty shocks on the populist voting behavior in the panel dataset of 24 European Union (EU) countries for the period from 1980 to 2020. In so doing, we focus on the shares of total populism, right-wing populism, and left-wing populism votes as well as a new indicator of economic uncertainty, so-called, the “World Uncertainty Index (WUI).” Using the fixed-effects, bias-corrected least-squares dummy variable (LSDVC), and Instrumental Variables (IV) estimations, we show that a higher level of the WUI is positively related to total populism and right-wing populist voting behavior. The baseline results remain consistent when we deal with potential issues of endogeneity, to address omitted variable bias, and to exclude the outliers.
Subjects: 
populist attitudes in the European Union
voting behaviour
right-wing populism
left-wing populism
uncertainty shocks
economic policy uncertainty
JEL: 
D72
D81
C33
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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