Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/222602
Authors: 
Oei, Pao-Yu
Hermann, Hauke
Herpich, Philipp
Holtemöller, Oliver
Lünenbürger, Benjamin
Schult, Christoph
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] Energy [ISSN:] 0360-5442 [Volume:] 196 [Issue:] (Article No.:) 117004
Abstract: 
The present study examines the consequences of the planned coal phase-out in Germany according to various phase-out pathways that differ in the ordering of power plant closures. Soft-linking an energy system model with an input-output model and a regional macroeconomic model simulates the socio-economic effects of the phase-out in the lignite regions, as well as in the rest of Germany. The combination of two economic models offers the advantage of considering the phase-out from different perspectives and thus assessing the robustness of the results. The model results show that the lignite coal regions will exhibit losses in output, income and population, but a faster phase-out would lead to a quicker recovery. Migration to other areas in Germany and demographic changes will partially compensate for increasing unemployment, but support from federal policy is also necessary to support structural change in these regions.
Subjects: 
Climate policy
Coal
Coal phase-out
Economy
Employment
Energy policy
Energy transition
Germany
Input-output analysis
Quantitative general equilibrium model
Transition
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Document Type: 
Article
Document Version: 
Published Version

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