Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/221402 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
1993
Series/Report no.: 
Discussion Paper No. 1045
Publisher: 
Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science, Evanston, IL
Abstract: 
This paper analyzes some decision/belief paradoxes from a Bayesian viewpoint, focusing on Hempel's "paradox of confirmation" and Good's variation of it. It is shown that a straightforward Bayesian analysis revolves the paradoxes discussed. These exampmles are used to support the view tha twhat the Bayesian paradigm does best is to provide a coherent and intuitive representation of belief.
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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