Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/218827
Authors: 
Colvin, Christopher L.
McLaughlin, Eoin
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
QUCEH Working Paper Series No. 2020-04
Abstract: 
Using the Irish experience of the Spanish flu, we demonstrate that pandemic mortality statistics are sensitive to the demographic composition of a country. We build a new demographic database for Ireland's 32 counties with vital statistics on births, ageing, migration and deaths. We then show how age-at-death statistics in 1918 and 1919 should be reinterpreted in light of these data. Our new estimates suggest the very young were most impacted by the flu. New studies of the economic impact of Influenza-18 must better control for demographic factors if they are to yield useful policy-relevant results. Covid-19 mortality statistics must go through a similar procedure so policymakers can better target their public health interventions.
Subjects: 
demographic economics
pandemics
age-adjusted mortality
Spanish flu
Ireland
JEL: 
N34
I18
Q54
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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