Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/217920 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
1986
Citation: 
[Journal:] South African Journal of Business Management [ISSN:] 2078-5976 [Volume:] 17 [Issue:] 1 [Publisher:] African Online Scientific Information Systems (AOSIS) [Place:] Cape Town [Year:] 1986 [Pages:] 43-47
Publisher: 
African Online Scientific Information Systems (AOSIS), Cape Town
Abstract: 
In this article, two of the most recent efforts to forecast the price of gold are discussed and a prediction for the year 2000 is provided. The forecast is based on the hypothesis that in the long run, commodity prices follow a well-defined path, which permits only gradual and slow changes. The analysis shows that the current price of gold (1985) in terms of US dollars, coincide with the long run equilibrium price simulated by the model. The forecast for the year 2000 suggests that the expected price is US $420 per fine ounce in 1983 constant dollars.
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Document Type: 
Article

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