Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/216376
Authors: 
García, Jorge Luis
Heckman, James J.
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers 13064
Abstract: 
This paper forecasts the life-cycle treatment effects on health of a high-quality early childhood program. Our predictions combine microsimulation using non-experimental data with experimental data from a midlife long-term follow-up. The follow-up incorporated a full epidemiological exam. The program mainly benefits males and significantly reduces the prevalence of heart disease, stroke, cancer, and mortality across the life-cycle. For men, we estimate an average reduction of 3.8 disability-adjusted years (DALYs). The reduction in DALYs is relatively small for women. The gain in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) is almost enough to offset all of the costs associated with program implementation for males and half of program costs for women.
Subjects: 
early childhood education
life-cycle health
long-term forecasts
program evaluation
randomized trials
JEL: 
I10
J13
I28
C93
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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