Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/215237 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 12841
Publisher: 
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
This paper examines the extent to which solo self-employment serves as a vehicle for job creation. Using panel data from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey, a dynamic multinomial logit model of transitions between labour market states is estimated. The empirical strategy closely follows that used in a previous study employing household data from Germany by Lechmann and Wunder (2017). Estimates of true cross-state dependence between solo self-employment and employership are obtained that are relatively small. Further, our results imply that the probability of a male remaining an employer just two years after transitioning out of solo self-employment is only 2% (and among women, it is virtually zero). The extent of both true cross-state dependence and true state dependence in employership is, however, much greater among individuals who have demonstrated a preference for self-employment in the past. This implies that pro-entrepreneurial policies that target more 'entrepreneurial' individuals will have more pronounced and long-term effects in stimulating job creation.
Subjects: 
dynamic multinomial logit
HILDA Survey
solo self-employment
state dependence
stepping stones
JEL: 
L26
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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