Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/215066
Authors: 
Bertoli, Simone
Docquier, Frédéric
Rapoport, Hillel
Ruyssen, Ilse
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 8064
Abstract: 
We use a multilevel approach to characterize the relationship between weather shocks and (internal and international) migration intentions. We combine individual survey data on migration intentions with measures of localized weather shocks for Western African countries over 2008-2016. A meta-analysis on results from about 310,000 regressions is conducted to identify the specification of weather anomalies that maximizes the goodness of fit of our empirical model. We then use this best specification to document heterogeneous mobility responses to weather shocks, which can be due to differences in long-term climatic conditions, migration perceptions, or adaptation capabilities. We find that droughts are associated with a higher probability of migration intentions in Senegal, Niger and Ivory Coast. The effect on international migration intentions are only significant in Niger. These effects are amplified, but qualitatively similar, when restricting the sample to rural low-skilled respondents.
Subjects: 
international migration
migration intentions
individual-level data
weather shocks
Western Africa
JEL: 
F22
J61
O13
O15
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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