Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/214514
Authors: 
Portmann, Marco
Stadelmann, David
Eichenberger, Reiner
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
CREMA Working Paper No. 2012-10
Abstract: 
What determines political candidates' election prospects' We match roll call votes of candidates for the majority elected upper house of parliament who were previously in the lower house with revealed preferences of their constituency. Thereby, we obtain a direct measure of past congruence. Politicians have a significantly and quantitatively important higher probability of election when they more closely matched the preferences of their constituency. This pr ovides evidence for the direct retrospective voting rule that voters elect politicians who represented their preferences well.
Subjects: 
Retrospective Voting
Voting Behavior
Representation
Constituents' Preferences
JEL: 
D72
D70
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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