Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/212628
Authors: 
Koivu, Tuuli
Mehrotra, Aaron
Nuutilainen, Riikka
Year of Publication: 
2008
Series/Report no.: 
BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2008
Abstract: 
This paper evaluates the usefulness of a McCallum monetary policy rule based on money supply for maintaining price stability in mainland China. We examine whether excess money relative to rulebased values provides information that improves the forecasting of price developments. The results suggest that our monetary variable helps in predicting both consumer and corporate goods price inflation, but the results for consumer prices depend on the forecasting period. Nevertheless, growth of the Chinese monetary base has tracked the McCallum rule quite closely. Moreover, results using a structural vector autoregression suggest that our measure of excess money supply could be used to identify monetary policy shocks in the Chinese economy
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-952-462-921-8
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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