Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/211937 
Year of Publication: 
2003
Series/Report no.: 
Bank of Finland Discussion Papers No. 4/2003
Publisher: 
Bank of Finland, Helsinki
Abstract: 
Banks' holding of reasonable capital buffers in excess of minimum requirements could alleviate the procyclicality problem potentially exacerbated by the rating-sensitive capital charges of Basel II. Determining the required buffer size is an important risk management issue for banks, which the Basle Committee (2002) suggests should be approached via stress testing.We present here a simulation-based approach to stress testing of capital adequacy where rating transitions are conditioned on business-cycle phase and business-cycle dynamics are taken into account.Our approach is an extension of the standard credit portfolio analysis in that we simulate actual bank capital and minimum capital requirements simultaneously.Actual bank capital (absent mark-to-market accounting) is driven by bank income and default losses, whereas capital requirements within the Basel II framework are driven by rating transitions.The joint dynamics of these determine the necessary capital buffers, given bank management's specified confidence level for capital adequacy.We provide a tentative calibration of this confidence level to data on actual bank capital ratios, which enables a ceteris-paribus extrapolation of bank capital under the current regime to bank capital under Basel II.
Subjects: 
Basel II
Pillar 2
bank capital
stress tests
procyclicality
JEL: 
G21
G32
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
952-462-035-9
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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