Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/211654 
Year of Publication: 
1992
Series/Report no.: 
Bank of Finland Discussion Papers No. 25/1992
Publisher: 
Bank of Finland, Helsinki
Abstract: 
This paper explores the determinants of aggregate economic fluctuations in Finland. The analysis makes use of aggregate monthly time series for some financial and non-financial variables. covering the period 1922-1990. In particular, we scrutinize the role of bankruptcies in the propagation mechanism of aggregate economic shocks. In analyzing the role of bankruptcies we also try to find out whether money or credit helps more in predicting the movements in corporate failures and overall economic activity. The empirical analyses indicate that bankruptcies constitute an important ingredient as regards the determination of other variables. It also tuI1J.s out that overall liquidity and firm failures are c10sely related. In comparing money and credit the former appears to be much more important as regards the .propagation mechanism. We also find that the basic relationships are strikingly stable over long periods. Finally, we find some evidence of non-linearities' in the financial and non-financial time series.
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
951-686-338-8
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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