Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/211394 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2019
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Texto para Discussão No. 2443
Verlag: 
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brasília
Zusammenfassung (übersetzt): 
The purpose of this paper is to present an overview of foresight methods and techniques, with the aim of updating the debate and highlighting the more recent approaches in the field. In revisiting these methods and techniques, we observed the need for a brief incursion in an epistemological discussion. On the one hand, we conclude that foresight studies lean toward a pragmatic standing, neglecting the epistemological rigor. This epistemological frailty can damage the field's legitimacy as an academic and scientific endeavor. On the other hand, we observe a clear revival of foresight, with new research centers around the world, which shows that futures studies are pivotal as a base for decision making processes and for the desire for change.
Schlagwörter: 
futures studies
foresight
scenarios
forecasting
JEL: 
C53
E17
C18
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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