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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2019
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
cemmap working paper No. CWP20/19
Verlag: 
Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice (cemmap), London
Zusammenfassung: 
We consider the estimation and inference in a system of high-dimensional regression equations allowing for temporal and cross-sectional dependency in covariates and error processes, covering rather general forms of weak dependence. A sequence of regressions with many regressors using LASSO (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) is applied for variable selection purpose, and an overall penalty level is carefully chosen by a block multiplier bootstrap procedure to account for multiplicity of the equations and dependencies in the data. Correspondingly, oracle properties with a jointly selected tuning parameter are derived. We further provide high-quality de-biased simultaneous inference on the many target parameters of the system. We provide bootstrap consistency results of the test procedure, which are based on a general Bahadur representation for the Z-estimators with dependent data. Simulations demonstrate good performance of the proposed inference procedure. Finally, we apply the method to quantify spillover effects of textual sentiment indices in a financial market and to test the connectedness among sectors.
Schlagwörter: 
LASSO
time series
simultaneous inference
system of equations
Z-estimation
Bahadur representation
martingale decomposition
JEL: 
C12
C22
C51
C53
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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