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https://hdl.handle.net/10419/21026
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DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Fertig, Michael | en |
dc.contributor.author | Schmidt, Christoph M. | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2009-01-28T16:18:44Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2009-01-28T16:18:44Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2000 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/21026 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Assessing the migration potential and predicting future migration streams are among the mostrelevant, yet least well understood topics of migration research. The usual approach taken toaddress aggregate-level prediction problems is to fit ad hoc specifications to historical data, andto extrapolate from these estimates on the basis of conditioning information that is assumed tobe known with certainty. In this context, this strategy faces formidable problems that exceed theusual difficulties arising for the prediction of economic variables. This paper addresses thisextrapolation problem formally, with an application to the case of EU-enlargement and theensuing migration streams to be expected from Eastern Europe. | en |
dc.language.iso | eng | en |
dc.publisher | |aInstitute for the Study of Labor (IZA) |cBonn | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | |aIZA Discussion Papers |x183 | en |
dc.subject.jel | J61 | en |
dc.subject.jel | J11 | en |
dc.subject.jel | C23 | en |
dc.subject.ddc | 330 | en |
dc.subject.keyword | Demographic Structure | en |
dc.subject.keyword | Variance Components | en |
dc.subject.keyword | GMM | en |
dc.subject.stw | Internationale Wanderung | en |
dc.subject.stw | Mobilität | en |
dc.subject.stw | Prognoseverfahren | en |
dc.subject.stw | Bevölkerungsstruktur | en |
dc.subject.stw | Momentenmethode | en |
dc.subject.stw | EU-Erweiterung | en |
dc.subject.stw | Schätzung | en |
dc.subject.stw | Ostmitteleuropa | en |
dc.subject.stw | Einwanderung | en |
dc.subject.stw | Deutschland | en |
dc.title | Aggregate-Level Migration Studies as a Tool for Forecasting Future Migration Streams | - |
dc.type | Working Paper | en |
dc.identifier.ppn | 835301583 | en |
dc.rights | http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen | en |
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