Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/208327
Authors: 
Eser, Fabian
Lemke, Wolfgang
Nyholm, Ken
Radde, Sören
Vladu, Andreea L.
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper No. 2293
Abstract: 
We trace the impact of the ECB's asset purchase programme (APP) on the sovereign yield curve. Exploiting granular information on sectoral asset holdings and ECB asset purchases, we construct a novel measure of the "free-float of duration risk" borne by price-sensitive investors. We include this supply variable in an arbitrage-free term structure model in which central bank purchases reduce the free-float of duration risk and hence compress term premia of yields. We estimate the stock of current and expected future APP holdings to reduce the 10y term premium by 95 bps. This reduction is persistent, with a half-life of five years. The expected length of the reinvestment period after APP net purchases is found to have a significant impact on term premia.
Subjects: 
Term structure of interest rates
term premia
central bank asset purchases
non-standard monetary policy measures
European Central Bank
JEL: 
C5
E43
E52
E58
G12
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-3555-5
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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